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DBS Group Research 2015-06-26: Ascott Residence Trust - Maintain BUY, TP S$1.34

First acquisition of the year 


  • Acquires serviced residences and rental properties in Australia and Japan for S$298.3m 
  • Increase exposure to the growing Melbourne and Japanese hospitality markets 
  • Has cash to buy another c.S$100m worth of properties 
  • Maintain BUY, TP S$1.34 


Acquisitions in Australia and Japan. 


  • Ascott Residence Trust (ART) announced the acquisition of three serviced residences and four rental housing properties in Australia and Japan for S$298m (inclusive of associated debt), on an estimated FY15 EBITDA yield of c.5.5%. 
  • The deal involves: 
    1. 380-unit Citadines on Bourke Melbourne, 
    2. 40% remaining stakes in Citadines Shinjuku Tokyo and Citadines KarasumaGojo Kyoto, and 
    3. four Osaka rental properties. 
  • The acquisition will be funded by 
    1. c.S$150m from the S$250m perpetual securities (4.68% yield) issued recently, and
    2. JPY debt at c.1.5% interest rate.


Broadens presence in growing markets. 


  • We are positive on the transaction as it provides exposure to the growing Melbourne hospitality market, where RevPAR is projected to increase by 7.3% in 2015. 
  • We also like the Japan hospitality market exposure which will benefit from rising tourist arrivals (up 45% y-o-y for 5M15). 
  • Moreover, the rental properties will provide ART with a steady income base. 
  • While we estimate 1-2% accretion to FY16-17F DPU, as S$100m of proceeds from the perpetuals have not been deployed, we maintain our existing DPU forecasts. Post-acquisition, gearing should remain at c.38%. 
  • However, treating 50% of the perpetuals as debt (in line with Moody’s), adjusted gearing stands at 42%. 
  • While acknowledging investor’s concerns over the higher adjusted debt, the use of perpetuals provides investors with greater cashflow visibility as ART is able to lock-in a 2.4% yield spread over a longer period and it avoids dilution from an equity raising. 


Maintain BUY. 


  • Given the c.S$100m investable funds in hand and ART yet to fully benefit from the acquisitions made last year, we believe ART’s earnings remain in an up cycle. 
  • We reiterate our BUY call and TP of S$1.34.


(Mervin SONG CFA, Derek TAN)

Source: http://www.dbsvickers.com/




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